Tabla de Contenidos: “…7.5.1 Parameter Estimation for the HPP -- 7.5.2 Data Analysis for the NHPP -- 7.5.2.1 Maximum Likelihood Procedures -- 7.5.2.2 Laplace Test -- 7.6 Availability of Repairable Systems -- 7.6.1 Instantaneous (Point) Availability of Revealed-Fault Items -- 7.6.2 Instantaneous (Point) Availability of Periodically-Tested Items -- 7.6.3 Limiting Point Availability -- 7.6.4 Average Availability -- 7.6.5 Other Average Measures of Availability -- 7.6.5.1 Inherent Availability -- 7.6.5.2 Achieved Availability -- 7.6.5.3 Operational Availability -- 7.7 Markov Processes for System Availability -- 7.8 Availability of Complex Systems -- 7.9 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 8 Selected Advanced Topics in Reliability and Risk Analysis -- 8.1 Uncertainty Analysis -- 8.1.1 Steps in Uncertainty Analysis for Risk and Reliability Models -- 8.1.2 Uncertainty Propagation Methods -- 8.1.2.1 Method of Moments for Propagation of Uncertainties -- 8.1.2.2 Monte Carlo Methods for Propagation of Uncertainties -- 8.2 Analysis of Dependent Failures -- 8.2.1 Single-Parameter Models -- 8.2.2 Multiple-Parameter Models -- 8.2.3 Data Analysis for CCFs -- 8.3 Importance Measures -- 8.3.1 Birnbaum Importance -- 8.3.2 Criticality Importance -- 8.3.3 Fussell-Vesely Importance -- 8.3.4 Risk Reduction Worth Importance -- 8.3.5 Risk Achievement Worth Importance -- 8.4 Human Reliability Analysis -- 8.4.1 The HRA Process -- 8.4.2 Identifying Human Failure Events -- 8.4.2.1 THERP -- 8.4.2.2 SPAR-H -- 8.4.2.3 IDAC and Phoenix -- 8.4.2.4 IDHEAS -- 8.4.3 Representing and Quantifying HFEs -- 8.4.3.1 THERP -- 8.4.3.2 SPAR-H -- 8.4.3.3 IDAC and Phoenix -- 8.4.3.4 IDHEAS -- 8.5 Exercises -- References -- Chapter 9 Risk Analysis -- 9.1 QRA Defined -- 9.2 QRA Process -- 9.2.1 Initiating Event -- 9.2.2 Hazard Exposure Scenarios -- 9.2.3 Identification of Hazards -- 9.2.4 Identification of Barriers…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…De Klerk -- Turkey: Thriving on Uncertainty: Leadership in Turkey / Serdar Karabatı and Beyza Oba -- United Kingdom: Dis-United Kingdom? …”
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Tabla de Contenidos: “…; ""Stages of Bliss""; ""Transformation Is a Process""; ""Consciousness Becomes You""; ""Facing Uncertainty""; ""Unconditional Love""; ""Divinely Human""; ""Empowering Perception""; ""Free of Limitations""; ""Formless & Form""; ""Hi, How Are You?""…”
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Tabla de Contenidos: “…Evolution of the Master Planning ProcessChapter Two: Analytical Support for the Development of Louisiana's 50-Year Comprehensive Plan; New Analytical Capabilities Informed the Planning Framework; Accounting for Deep Uncertainty Using Scenarios; Systems Models, CLARA, and Innovative Flood Risk Modeling; The Planning Tool and Innovative Decisionmaking; Supporting CPRA Decisionmaking with Analysis; Chapter Three: Using the Planning Tool to Support the Development of a Comprehensive Plan for Louisiana; Planning Tool Analysis Supported Deliberations; Comparing Projects on an Even Playing Field…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…Frontmatter -- Contents -- Preface -- Living with Uncertainty - A Plea for Enlightened Skepticism / An Argument Against Disjunctivism / Is Experience a Reason for Accepting Basic Statements? …”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…Literally -- Doing Fieldwork -- Following People Around -- Method Triangulation -- The Researcher as a Learner -- My Interaction Partners in the SEM -- Thinking Through and with Practice Theory: Methodological Limits and Challenges -- References -- 3 Asylum Decision-Making in Switzerland -- Asylum Politics in Switzerland and Beyond -- Changing Law and the Proliferation of Legal Categories -- The SEM: A Specialised Asylum Administration Emerges -- The Decision-Making Procedure -- The Swiss Asylum Act -- References -- 4 Knowledge as Practice: Producing Decisional Certainty -- Ben's Case -- "Country Knowledge" -- Determining Applicants' "Country of Origin" -- Assessing Reasonable Likelihood -- Assessing Demeanour -- Producing Decisional Certainty: The Role of Professional-Practical Knowledge -- Producing On-File Facts: The Asylum Interview -- Writing Asylum Decisions: The Final Creation of Legal Facts -- Managing Uncertainty: The Importance of Credibility Determination -- Concluding Remarks -- References -- 5 Getting in Line with the Office -- Becoming a Member of the Office -- Who Are the Decision-Makers? …”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…Chapter 6: Governing the Marine Environment through Information: Fisheries, Shipping, and Tourism Chapter 7: Inducing Better Stakeholder Searches for Environmental Information Relevant to Coastal Conservation; Chapter 8: When Scientific Uncertainty Is in the Eye of the Beholder: Using Network Analysis to Understand the Building of Trust in Science; Chapter 9: Designing Usable Environmental Research; Chapter 10: The Balancing Act of Science in Public Policy; Chapter 11: Measuring Awareness, Use, and Influence of Information: Where Theory Meets Practice…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…Imaging and Data Mining -- Ranking as Function Approximation -- Two Algorithms for Approximation in Highly Complicated Planar Domains -- Computational Intelligence in Clustering Algorithms, With Applications -- Energy-Based Image Simplification with Nonlocal Data and Smoothness Terms -- Multiscale Voice Morphing Using Radial Basis Function Analysis -- Associating Families of Curves Using Feature Extraction and Cluster Analysis -- Numerical Simulation -- Particle Flow Simulation by Using Polyharmonic Splines -- Enhancing SPH using Moving Least-Squares and Radial Basis Functions -- Stepwise Calculation of the Basin of Attractionin Dynamical Systems Using Radial Basis Functions -- Integro-Differential Equation Models and Numerical Methods for Cell Motility and Alignment -- Spectral Galerkin Method Applied to Some Problems in Elasticity -- Statistical Approximation Methods -- Bayesian Field Theory Applied to Scattered Data Interpolation and Inverse Problems -- Algorithms for Structured Gauss-Markov Regression -- Uncertainty Evaluation in Reservoir Forecasting by Bayes Linear Methodology -- Data Fitting and Modelling -- Integral Interpolation -- Shape Control in Powell-Sabin Quasi-Interpolation -- Approximation with Asymptotic Polynomials -- Spline Approximation Using Knot Density Functions -- Neutral Data Fitting by Lines and Planes -- Approximation on an Infinite Range to Ordinary Differential Equations Solutions by a Function of a Radial Basis function -- Weighted Integrals of Polynomial Splines -- Differential and Integral Equations -- On Sequential Estimators for Affine Stochastic Delay Differential Equations -- Scalar Periodic Complex Delay Differential Equations: Small Solutions and their Detection -- Using Approximations to Lyapunov Exponents to Predict Changes in Dynamical Behaviour in Numerical Solutions to Stochastic Delay Differential Equations -- Superconvergence of Quadratic Spline Collocation for Volterra Integral Equations -- Special Functions and Approximation on Manifolds -- Asymptotic Approximations to Truncation Errors of Series Representations for Special Functions -- Strictly Positive Definite Functions on Generalized Motion Groups -- Energy Estimates and the Weyl Criterion on Compact Homogeneous Manifolds -- Minimal Discrete Energy Problems and Numerical Integration on Compact Sets in Euclidean Spaces -- Numerical Quadrature of Highly Oscillatory Integrals Using Derivatives…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…-- Chapter 1 America-The Change Makers -- Founder Effects -- The Peopling of America -- Positivity -- Embracing the New -- Assimilation over Accommodation -- Mammon: Tamed and Untamed -- The Triumph of Functionality -- Increasing Plurality -- Looking Ahead -- Chapter 2 Sub-Saharan Africa: Under Nature's Shadow -- How Modern Humans Populated Africa -- Nature's Crucible: The Forces Shaping Africa's Cultural DNA -- Community and Beyond -- Naturalness: Expressed and Denied -- In the Moment -- Metaphor, Analogy, and the Connectedness of Things -- The Big Man and His Alter Ego -- Looking Ahead -- Chapter 3 India: Beyond This World -- The Peopling of India -- The Toba Event -- The Forces That Have Shaped India's Cultural DNA -- Ahimsa -- Individual Paths -- Inner Directedness -- Horizontal Stratification -- Mathematics: The Art of the Hindus -- Ritualistic Thinking -- Looking Ahead -- Chapter 4 The Middle East: Ambivalence and Uncertainty in the Modern Age -- How Modern Humans Populated the Middle East -- Deserts and Civilization: The Twin Drivers of Middle Eastern Cultural DNA -- The Rules of Life -- The Commercial Instinct -- The Best Ideas in the World -- The Honor-Modesty System -- The Other Sex -- Concentric Circles of Belonging -- Managing Contradictions and Tensions -- Chapter 5 China: The Seekers of Harmony -- The Peopling of China -- The Forces That Shaped China's DNA -- The Drive for Harmony -- The Authoritarian Compact -- Concrete and Practical Inventiveness -- Fast Slow…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…-- Using Passive Sensing to Identify Depression -- The GraphBRAIN Framework for Knowledge Graph Management and its Applications to Cultural Heritage -- Challenges for AI in Healthcare Systems -- Towards a Multi-dimensional Health Data Analysis Framework -- Future Opportunities for Systematic AI Support in Healthcare -- CRISP-PCCP – A Development Methodology Supporting FDA Approval for Machine Learning Enabled Medical Devices -- Model Driven Development for AI-based Healthcare Systems: A Review -- Balancing Transparency and Risk: An Overview of the Security and Privacy Risks of Open-Source Machine Learning Models -- AI-related risk and uncertainty -- Leveraging Actionable Explanations to Improve People’s Reactions to AI-based Decisions -- From Explanation Correctness to Explanation Goodness: Only Provably Correct Explanations can Save the World -- Thinking Outside the Box? …”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…Chapter 23 - Multiscale Representations: Fractals, Self-Similar Random Processes and WaveletsChapter 24 - Dispersion Modeling; Chapter 25 - Modeling the Urban Boundary and Canopy Layers*; Chapter 26 - Air Pollution Modeling and Its Applications; Chapter 27 - Mathematical Models to Improve Performance of Surface Irrigation Systems; Chapter 28 - Cyberinfrastructure and Community Environmental Modeling; Chapter 29 - Uncertainty in Environmental NWP Modeling; Chapter 30 - Physical Modeling of Hydraulics and Sediment Transport; Chapter 31 - Laboratory Modeling…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…Introduction -- 80/20 Rule -- Accessibility -- Advance Organizer -- Aesthetic-Usability Effect -- Affordance -- Alignment -- Anthropomorphic Form -- Archetypes -- Area Alignment -- Attractiveness Bias -- Baby-Face Bias -- Biophilia Effect -- Cathedral Effect -- Chunking -- Classical Conditioning -- Closure -- Cognitive Dissonance -- Color -- Common Fate -- Comparison -- Confirmation -- Consistency -- Constancy -- Constraint -- Contour Bias -- Control -- Convergence -- Cost-Benefit -- Defensible Space -- Depth of Processing -- Design by Committee -- Desire Line -- Development Cycle -- Entry Point -- Errors -- Expectation Effect -- Exposure Effect -- Face-ism Ratio -- Factor of Safety -- Feedback Loop -- Fibonacci Sequence -- Figure-Ground Relationship -- Fitts' Law -- Five Hat Racks -- Flexibility-Usability Tradeoff -- Forgiveness -- Form Follows Function -- Framing -- Freeze-Flight-Fight-Forfeit -- Garbage In-Garbage Out -- Golden Ratio -- Good Continuation -- Gutenberg Diagram -- Hick's Law -- Hierarchy -- Hierarchy of Needs -- Highlighting -- Horror Vacui -- Hunter-Nurturer Fixations -- Iconic Representation -- Immersion -- Inattentional Blindness -- Interference Effects -- Inverted Pyramid -- Iteration -- Law of Prägnanz -- Layering -- Legibility -- Life Cycle -- Mapping -- Mental Model -- Mimicry -- Mnemonic Device -- Modularity -- Most Advanced Yet Acceptable -- Most Average Facial Appearance Effect -- Normal Distribution -- Not Invented Here -- Nudge -- Ockham's Razor -- Operant Conditioning -- Orientation Sensitivity -- Performance Load -- Performance Versus Preference -- Personas -- Picture Superiority Effect -- Priming -- Progressive Disclosure -- Propositional Density -- Prospect-Refuge -- Prototyping -- Proximity -- Readability -- Recognition Over Recall -- Red Effect -- Redundancy -- Rosetta Stone -- Rule of Thirds -- Satisficing -- Savanna Preference -- Scaling Fallacy -- Scarcity -- Self-Similarity -- Serial Position Effects -- Shaping -- Signal-to-Noise Ratio -- Similarity -- Stickiness -- Storytelling -- Structural Forms -- Symmetry -- Threat Detection -- Three-Dimensional Projection -- Top-Down Lighting Bias -- Uncanny Valley -- Uncertainty Principle -- Uniform Connectedness -- Veblen Effect -- Visibility -- Visuospacial Resonance -- von Restorff Effect -- Wabi-Sabi -- Waist-to-Hip Ratio -- Wayfinding -- Weakest Link -- Credits -- Acknowledgments -- About the Authors -- Index…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…The timeline of disaster recoveryFactors that influence the healing process; Resilience and adaptive capacity; Resilience and social capital; Uncertainty; Division and reconciliation; Unintended consequences; Displacement; Disasters and echo disasters; Hope - light at the end of the tunnel or an oncoming train?…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…Intro -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- About the Editors -- List of Contributors -- Theme 1Statistics and AI Methods with Applications -- Chapter 1A Review of Computational Statistics and Artificial Intelligence Methodologies -- Chapter 2An Improved Random Forest for Classification and Regression Using Dynamic Weighted Scheme -- Chapter 3Study of Computational Statistical Methodologies for Modelling the Evolution of COVID-19 in India during the Second Wave -- Theme 2 Machine Learning-adopted Models -- Chapter 4Distracted Driver Detection Using Image Segmentation and Transfer Learning -- Chapter 5Review Analysis of Ride-Sharing Applications Using Machine Learning Approaches: Bangladesh Perspective -- Chapter 6Nowcasting of Selected Imports and Exports of Bangladesh: Comparison among Traditional Time Series Model and Machine Learning Models -- Theme 3Development of the Forecasting Component to the Decision Support Tools -- Chapter 7An Intelligent Interview Bot for Candidate Assessment by Using Facial Expression Recognition and Speech Recognition System -- Chapter 8Analysis of Oversampling and Ensemble Learning Methods for Credit Card Fraud Detection -- Chapter 9Combining News with Time Series for Stock Trend Prediction -- Chapter 10Influencing Project Success Outcomes by Utilising Advanced Statistical Techniques and AI during the Project Initiating Process -- Theme 4 Socio-economic and Environmental Modelling Theme 5Healthcare and Mental Disorder Detection with AIs -- Chapter 11Computational Statistical Methods for Uncertainty Assessment in Geoscience -- Chapter 12A Comparison of Geocomputational Models for Validating Geospatial Distribution of Water Quality Index -- Chapter 13Mathematical Modeling for Socio-economic Development: A Case from Palestine…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…Why educational research needs a complex system revolution that embraces individual differences, heterogeneity, and uncertainty.-…”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…DOSIMETRY AND ITS APPLICATION -- DOSIMETRY APPROACHES -- External Dose -- Internal Dose -- Intake by Inhalation and Ingestion -- Intake through the skin -- APPRAISAL OF CURRENT DOE ASSESSMENTS -- External Dose -- Intake and Internal Dose -- Inhalation -- Ingestion -- Intake through skin -- 6. UNCERTAINTY AND VARIABILITY IN DOSE PROJECTION -- LLNL PROBABILISTIC APPROACH -- SCENARIO APPROACH -- CONCLUSIONS -- 7. …”

Tabla de Contenidos: “…2.4.11.7 Bandwidth and hypertuning -- 2.4.11.8 Lasso regression -- 2.4.11.9 Dropout -- 2.4.12 Generalization puzzle of deep and overparameterized learning -- 2.4.13 Online machine learning -- 2.4.14 Boosting -- 2.4.15 Twicing -- 2.4.16 Randomized learning -- 2.4.17 Latent structure -- 2.4.18 No free lunch and AutoML -- 2.4.19 Computer power and machine learning -- 2.5 Dynamical modeling -- 2.6 Alternative reality -- 2.7 Timeliness‐significance tradeoff -- 2.8 Grouping -- 2.9 Conditioning -- 2.10 Pairwise predictors -- 2.11 Forecast for securities from their linear combinations -- 2.12 Forecast research vs simulation -- Chapter 3 Forecast Combining -- 3.1 Correlation and diversification -- 3.2 Portfolio combining -- 3.3 Mean‐variance combination of forecasts -- 3.4 Combining features vs combining forecasts -- 3.5 Dimensionality reduction -- 3.5.1 PCA, PCR, CCA, ICA, LCA, and PLS -- 3.5.2 Clustering -- 3.5.3 Hierarchical combining -- 3.6 Synthetic security view -- 3.7 Collaborative filtering -- 3.8 Alpha pool management -- 3.8.1 Forecast development guidelines -- 3.8.1.1 Point-in-time data -- 3.8.1.2 Horizon and scaling -- 3.8.1.3 Type of target return -- 3.8.1.4 Performance metrics -- 3.8.1.5 Measure of forecast uncertainty -- 3.8.1.6 Correlation with existing forecasts -- 3.8.1.7 Raw feature library -- 3.8.1.8 Overfit handling -- 3.8.2 Pnl attribution -- 3.8.2.1 Marginal attribution -- 3.8.2.2 Regression-based attribution -- Chapter 4 Risk -- 4.1 Value at risk and expected shortfall -- 4.2 Factor models -- 4.3 Types of risk factors -- 4.4 Return and risk decomposition -- 4.5 Weighted PCA -- 4.6 PCA transformation -- 4.7 Crowding and liquidation -- 4.8 Liquidity risk and short squeeze -- 4.9 Forecast uncertainty and alpha risk -- Chapter 5 Trading Costs and Market Elasticity -- 5.1 Slippage -- 5.2 Impact -- 5.2.1 Empirical observations…”

“…The book presents important techniques to price, hedge, and manage risks in general - while acknowledging the high degree of uncertainty in the real world"-- Provided by publisher…”

“…In fact, it can make the difference between organizations that thrive and those that simply survive during times of economic uncertainty. Reducing Process Costs with Lean, Six Sigma, and Value Engineering Techniques covers the methods and techniques currently available for lowering the costs of products, processes, and services.Describing why cost reductions can be just as powerful as revenue increases, the book arms readers with the…”

“…After the loss and carnage of the Twentieth Century there is prevailing mood of uncertainty and paranoia, yet at the same time a denial of tragedy, a salvation fantasy, an illusion that we will be saved. …”