The Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference

The Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference investigates the relations of inductive support on the large scale, among the totality of facts comprising a science or science in general. These relations form a massively entangled, non-hierarchical structure which is discovered by making hypotheses...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Otros Autores:	Norton, John D., 1960- author (author)
Formato:	Libro electrónico
Idioma:	Inglés
Publicado:	Calgary, Alberta : University of Calgary Press [2024]
Edición:	First edition
Colección:	BSPS Open Series
Materias:	Induction (Logic)
Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:	https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009845836606719

Tabla de Contenidos:

Front Cover
Half Title Page
Series Page
Full Title Page
Copyright Page
Contents
List of Figures
List of Tables
Preface
Introduction
1. The Project of This Volume
2. Part I: General Claims and Arguments
3. Part II: Historical Case Studies
1 | The Material Theory of Induction, Briefly
1. Introduction
2. The Material Theory of Induction
3. Enumerative Induction
4. Analogy
5. Hypothetical Induction
6. Simplicity
7. Bayes
8. Conclusion
Appendix: Laplace's Rule of Succession
PART I - General Claims and Arguments
2 | Large-Scale Structure: Four Claims
1. Introduction
2. Nonhierarchical Relations of Inductive Support
3. The Role of Hypotheses in the Discovery ofInductive Relations of Support
4. Deductive Inferences in Inductive Structures
5. The Maturity of a Science
6. Inductively Self-Supporting Structures
7. Nonempirical Components of the Large-ScaleStructure of Inductive Support
8. Conclusion
3 | Circularity
1. Fear of Circles
2. Vicious Circularity
3. Indeterminate Circularities
4. Determinate Circularities
5. Conclusion
4 | The Uniqueness of Domain-Specific Inductive Logics
1. The Challenge Posed
2. The Uniqueness of Mature Sciences
3. Competition Is Empirically Decidable
4. Inductive Competition Is Unstable
5. Illustrations of Instability
6. Unconceived Alternatives
7. The Underdetermination Conjecture
8. Observationally Equivalent Theories
9. Formal Accounts
10. Conclusion
5 | Coherentism and the Material Theory of Induction
1. Introduction
2. Coherentist Theories of Epistemic Justification
3. Similarities
4. Dissimilarities
5. Problems of Coherentism
6. Probabilistic Accounts of Coherence
7. Why the Bayesian Analysis of Coherence Fails
8. Conclusion.
6 | The Problem of Induction
1. Synopsis
2. Introduction
3. What the Modern Problem of Induction Is Not:Inductive Anxiety
4. Hume's Critique
5. The Reception
6. The Nineteenth-Century Hiatus
7. Twentieth-Century Revival: The Circularity Formulation
8. Twentieth-Century Expansion: The Regress Formulation
9. Logic of Induction, Not Epistemology of Belief
10. Epistemology Does Not Solve the Problem ofInduction
11. The Material Dissolution of the Problem of Induction
12. Regresses
13. Circularities
14. Sober and Okasha
15. What Justifies Induction in the Material Theory
16. Critical Responses to the Material Dissolution
17. Conclusion
PART II - Historical Case Studies
7 | The Recession of the Nebulae
1. Introduction
2. Background to Hubble's Investigations
3. The Determination of Distances
4. From Particulars to Generalities
5. Hubble's Hypotheses
6. From Generalities to Particulars
7. How Strong Was the Evidence for Linearity?
8. Conclusion and Summary
Appendix: Luminosity and Magnitude
8 | Newton on Universal Gravitation
1. Introduction
2. The Moon Test
3. The Inferences Summarized
4. Elliptical Orbits and the Inverse Square Law
5. The Exactness of the Inverse Square Law
6. Conclusion
9 | Mutually Supporting Evidence in Atomic Spectra
1. Introduction
3. The Ritz Combination Principle
4. Mutually Supporting Evidence
5. Supporting the Ritz Combination Principle
6. Bohr's Theory of the Atom
7. The Ritz Combination Principle Supports Quantum Theory
8. Quantum Theory Confirms the Ritz Combination Principle
9. Conclusion
10 | Mutually Supporting Evidence in Radiocarbon Dating
1. Introduction
2. How Radiocarbon Dating Works
3. The Need for Calibration
4. Relations of Evidential Support.
11 | The Determination of Atomic Weights
1. Introduction
2. Dalton's Atomic Theory
3. A Circularity: Atomic Weights and Molecular Formulae
4. A Failed Hypothesis of Simplicity
5. Breaking the Circularity
6. The Vaulted Inductive Structure of Atomic Weights and Molecular Formulae
7. Mutual Support of Atomic Weights and Molecular Formulae
8. Mutual Support of Avogadro's Hypothesis and the Law of Dulong and Petit
9. Mutual Support of Avogadro's Hypothesis in Chemistry and the Kinetic Theory of Gases
10. Hypothesis No More
12 | The Use of Hypotheses in Determining Distances in Our Planetary System
1. Introduction
2. An Evidential Circle: The Distances and Sizes of the Moon and Sun
3. Aristarchus: Breaking the Evidential Circles
4. Measurements of Parallax
5. The Parallax of Mars
6. The Transits of Venus
7. The Need for Hypotheses
8. Pythagorean and Platonic Harmonies
9. Ptolemy's Planetary Hypotheses
10. The Copernican Hypothesis
11. Securing the Copernican Hypothesis
12. Crossing of Relations of Support
13. Conclusion
13 | Dowsing: The Instabilities of EvidentialCompetition
1. Introduction
2. The Phenomenon Established
3. Disputes over the Theory of Dowsing Processes
4. The Dispute over Geology
5. Dispute over the Phenomena
6. The Ideo-Motor Principle
7. The Diverging Inductive Logics
8. Conclusion: The Inductive Instability
14 | Stock Market Prediction: When Inductive Logics Compete
1. Introduction
2. The Systems
3. The Systems Compete
4. Conclusion: The Instability of Competing Systems
Afterword
Index
Back Cover.

The Large-Scale Structure of Inductive Inference

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