The politics and science of prevision governing and probing the future

"This book inquires into the use of prediction at the intersection of politics and academia, and reflects upon the implications of future-oriented policymaking across different fields. The volume focuses on the key intricacies and fallacies of prevision in a time of complexity, uncertainty and...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Otros Autores: Wenger, Andreas, editor (editor), Jasper, Ursula, editor, Cavelty, Myriam Dunn, editor
Formato: Libro electrónico
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: London ; New York : Taylor & Francis [2020]
Colección:CSS studies in security and international relations.
Materias:
Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009745103906719
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Part 1. Introduction
  • Governing and probing the future : the politics and science of prevision / Andreas Wenger, Ursula Jasper, Myriam Dunn Cavelty
  • Part 2. Academic perspectives on future-oriented policy-making
  • Imagined worlds : the politics of future-making in the 21st century / Sheila Jasanoff
  • How to know the future-- and the past (and how not) : a pragmatist perspective on foresight and hindsight / Gunther Hellmann
  • Future thinking and cognitive distortions : key questions that guide forecasting processes / Michael C. Horowitz
  • Thinking historically : a guide for policy / Francis J. Gavin
  • From predicting to forecasting : uncertainties, scenarios, and their (un-)intended side effects / Myriam Dunn Cavelty
  • Part 3. Empirical perspectives across policy fields
  • Uncertainty and precariousness at the policy-science interface : three cases of climate-driven adaptation / Maria Carmen Lemos, Nicole Klenk
  • The anticipative medicalization of life : governing future risk and uncertainty in (global) health / Anticipative Medicalization of Life: Governing Future Risk and Uncertainty in (Global) Health / Ursula Jasper
  • Crisis, what crisis? Uncertainty, risk, and financial markets / Peter J. Katzenstein, Stephen C. Nelson
  • Imagining future biothreats : the role of popular culture / Filippa Lentzos, Jean-Baptiste Gouyon, Brian Balmer
  • Forecasting civil war and political violence / Corinne Bara
  • Predicting nuclear weapons proliferation / Jonas Schneider"We do that once per day : cyclical futures and institutional ponderousness in predictive policing / Matthias Leese Part 4. Conclusion
  • The politics and science of the future : assembling future knowledge and integrating it into public policy / Politics and Science of the Futurre: Assembling Future Knowledge and Integrating It into Public Policy andGovernanceWenger, Myriam Dunn Cavelty, Ursula Jaspe.