The Impact of Index and Swap Funds on Commodity Futures Markets Preliminary Results

This preliminary study examines the impact of index and swap fund participation in agricultural and energy commodity futures markets. Based on new data and empirical analysis the study finds that index funds did not cause a bubble in agricultural futures prices. Using Granger causality methods the s...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Irwin, Scott H. (-)
Other Authors: Sanders, Dwight R.
Format: eBook Section
Language:Inglés
Published: Paris : OECD Publishing 2010.
Series:OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers, no.27.
Subjects:
See on Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009706363906719
Description
Summary:This preliminary study examines the impact of index and swap fund participation in agricultural and energy commodity futures markets. Based on new data and empirical analysis the study finds that index funds did not cause a bubble in agricultural futures prices. Using Granger causality methods the study finds no statistically significant relationship between changes in index and swap fund positions and increased market volatility. The evidence is strongest for agricultural futures markets because the data on index trader positions are measured with reasonable accuracy. The evidence is not as strong in the two energy markets examined here because of considerable uncertainty about the degree to which the available data actually reflect index trader positions in these markets.
Physical Description:1 online resource (30 p. )