ITF Transport Outlook 2021.
The ITF Transport Outlook 2021 provides scenarios for the development of transport demand up to 2050. This edition includes a special focus on the impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic on transport systems, and models potential long-term changes with challenges and opportunities for decarbonisation.
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Formato: | Libro electrónico |
Idioma: | Inglés |
Publicado: |
Paris :
OECD Publishing
2021.
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Colección: | ITF Transport Outlook
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Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull: | https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009704569706719 |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Intro
- Foreword
- Acknowledgements
- Table of contents
- Reader's guide
- How to read the ITF Transport Outlook 2021
- Glossary
- Executive summary
- Background
- Findings
- Policy insights
- Align Covid-19 recovery packages to revive the economy, combat climate change and strengthen equity
- Implement much more ambitious policies that will reverse the growth of transport CO2 emissions
- Target different transport sectors with strategies that reflect their specific decarbonisation potential and challenges
- Support innovation to accelerate the technological breakthroughs needed to decarbonise transport
- Shift the priority to improving accessibility
- Intensify collaboration with non-transport sectors and between public and private actors
- 1 Reshaping transport for a cleaner environment and fairer societies
- Inequality and climate change: The twin challenge
- Transport and well-being: The underrated link
- Transport CO2 emissions: Significant and growing
- Tackling emissions and inequality together
- Ensuring aligned policies
- Shifting focus from mobility to accessibility
- Collaborating for faster progress
- Shaping tomorrow's transport: The pandemic as a reset?
- The human dimension: Catering for diversity in transport
- The economic dimension: Recovery under uncertainty
- Key takeaways
- References
- 2 Pathways to decarbonise transport by 2050
- Recover, Reshape, Reshape+: Three possible futures for transport
- Measures to decarbonise transport: Avoid, shift, improve
- Transport demand: Growth continues
- Passenger transport demand
- Freight transport demand
- Transport emissions and climate goals: Can we still get there?
- The impact of an economic lag on CO2 emissions
- Transport emissions and social equity: Who pays for decarbonisation?
- Key takeaways
- References.
- 3 Urban passenger transport: Cities can make mobility sustainable, equitable and resilient
- Decarbonising urban passenger transport: The state of play
- How can cities handle growing mobility demand?
- Mastering the pandemic: Challenges and opportunities for urban mobility after Covid-19
- Cities at a standstill
- Recovery risks - and opportunities
- Recover, Reshape, Reshape+: Three possible futures for urban passenger transport
- Urban mobility in the Recover scenario
- Paradigm change: urban mobility in the Reshape scenario
- Reshape+: Reinforcing Reshape
- Demand for urban travel: Managing mobility in growing cities
- CO2 emissions from urban mobility: Improved services, smaller carbon footprint
- Equity and well-being: Accessible cities and resilient networks
- Ambitious decarbonisation and accessibility for all
- The higher the decarbonisation policy ambition, the higher the resilience of the system
- Policy recommendations
- Empower cities to decarbonise urban mobility and enhance accessibility to improve well-being
- Prioritise funding for sustainable urban transport over investment in city roads
- Improve the quality of public transport to create more inclusive and reliable services
- Pursue integrated land-use and transport planning for sustainable, neighbourhood-based urban development
- Create incentives for greening urban vehicle fleets
- Nurture transport innovation and collaborate with providers of new urban mobility services to maximise benefits and minimise costs
- Combine transport decarbonisation and resilience measures now to meet future demand in sustainable ways and withstand disruptions
- References
- 4 Non-urban passenger transport: A pivotal sector for greening transport
- Decarbonising non-urban passenger transport: The state of play.
- Mastering the pandemic: Challenges and opportunities for non-urban mobility after Covid-19
- How Covid-19 has changed travel behaviour
- The impact of Covid-19 on the decarbonisation of non-urban passenger transport
- Recover, Reshape, Reshape+: Three possible futures for non-urban passenger transport
- Non-urban passenger transport in the Recover scenario
- Paradigm change: Non-urban transport in the Reshape scenario
- Reshape+: Reinforcing Reshape
- Demand for non-urban passenger transport: Quick recovery and continued growth
- Air travel will dominate intercity trips
- Global transport activity is shifting to Asia
- CO2 emissions from non-urban passenger transport: Decoupling emissions from demand
- Well-to-tank emissions become more important
- OECD countries have the greatest potential to decarbonise
- Fair decarbonisation: Reducing non-urban passenger emissions in equitable ways
- Environmental equity of transport decisions
- Carbon taxes must not harm the less well-off
- Quantifying the equitability of non-urban transport
- Policy recommendations
- Increase the price of high-carbon non-urban transport to encourage clean alternatives
- Create Covid-19 recovery packages that boost sustainable non-urban transport
- Align decarbonisation policies across the transport and energy sectors to reflect the reliance of zero-carbon transport on clean energy
- Mandate the use of alternative fuels in aviation to encourage long-term innovation
- Incentivise the transition to low-emission non-urban road transport by making it more affordable and through measures that increase consumer confidence in cleaner options
- Invest proactively in technological developments beyond the transport sector to ensure wide-scale availability of new technologies for a comprehensive decarbonisation roll out
- References
- Note.
- 5 Freight transport: Bold action can decarbonise movement of goods
- Decarbonising freight transport: The state of play
- Freight's main challenges
- Three steps towards decarbonising freight
- Mastering the pandemic: Challenges and opportunities for freight after Covid-19
- Recover, Reshape, Reshape+: Three possible futures for freight transport
- Freight transport in the Recover scenario
- Paradigm change: Freight transport in the Reshape scenario
- Reshape+: Reinforcing Reshape
- Demand for freight: Substantial growth at a slower pace
- CO2 emissions from freight transport: Reversing emission growth
- Equitable freight decarbonisation: Avoiding regional imbalances
- More resilience, less carbon and lower costs with the right policy mix
- Policy recommendations
- Design stimulus packages that align to support economic recovery, freight decarbonisation and supply chain resilience
- Align price incentives with freight decarbonisation ambitions for carrier buy-in
- Scale-up ready-to-adopt freight decarbonisation measures quickly to cut costs and emissions
- Strengthen international co-operation to combat freight emissions
- Accelerate standardisation procedures to speed-up the adoption of new clean technologies
- Tailor decarbonisation pathways to regional realities to address gaps in standard solutions
- Broaden access to privately owned data to improve policy design
- References
- Annex A. Statistical Annex.