Financial forecasting and decision making

Many companies fail to succeed due to poor planning, which is one reason why accountants are in big demand. Skilled at forecasting, accountants can plan a company's future by determining the maximum sustainable growth and predict its external fund requirements. This book provides you with the b...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Otros Autores: Davidson, Wallace N. 1952- author (author)
Formato: Libro electrónico
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: [Place of publication not identified] : Wiley 2018.
Edición:1st edition
Materias:
Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009631109206719
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Intro
  • FINANCIAL FORECASTING AND DECISION MAKING
  • TABLE OF CONTENTS
  • Chapter 1 FORECASTING PREREQUISITES
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • An Overview of the Forecasting Process
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • More on the Forecasting Process
  • PURPOSE OF FORECASTING
  • FIRST-PASS FORECAST
  • SIMULATION
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • ASSUMPTIONS AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
  • PLANNING AND FORECASTING
  • Budgets Versus Forecasted Financial Statements
  • BUDGETS
  • FORECASTED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
  • Financial Planning Prerequisites
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Corporate Growth
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Value of a Company
  • Chapter 2 USING THE BASIC FORECASTING MODEL
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • Making Assumptions
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Percent of Sales and Sales Forecasts
  • SALES FORECAST AND FORECASTING
  • THE SALES FORECAST
  • WHO PREPARES THE SALES FORECAST?
  • The Basic Forecasting Model
  • PERCENT OF SALES METHOD
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Explanation of the Basic Model
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Identification of Spontaneous and Quasi-spontaneous Accounts
  • SPONTANEOUS ASSETS
  • SPONTANEOUS LIABILITIES
  • The Basic Model: An Example
  • NEED FOR FUNDS
  • INTERNALLY GENERATED SOURCES
  • IMPACT OF PROFITS ON EFN
  • EFN AND SALES INCREASES
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Using the Basic Model for Planning
  • DIVIDENDS
  • FINANCING
  • SALES GROWTH
  • ESTIMATING SALES
  • The Basic Model: Sensitivity Analysis
  • EXAMPLE
  • ANOMALY OF SALES GROWTH
  • The Zeta Company Case Study
  • The Balance Sheet: Percent of Sales Method
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Forecasting the Balance Sheet: An Example
  • Using the Projected Balance Sheet for Decision Making: Capital Structure Decision
  • Methods of Financing EFN
  • EXTERNAL SOURCES
  • INTERNAL SOURCES
  • Using the Projected Balance Sheet for Decision Making: Working Capital Decisions
  • WORKING CAPITAL AND PROFITS
  • SECOND-PASS FORECAST: IMPROVING WORKING CAPITAL.
  • Using the Projected Balance Sheet for Decision Making: Retention Decisions
  • THIRD-PASS FORECAST
  • Problems and Limitations Associated with the Basic Model
  • Case Study
  • Chapter 3 MANAGEMENT USES OF THE FORECASTING TECHNIQUE: A CASE ANALYSIS ON WORKING CAPITAL PLANNING
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVE
  • The Davidson Toy Company
  • WORKSHEETS
  • Chapter 4 USING FORECASTING TO PLAN THE COMPANY'S CAPITAL STRUCTURE
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • Value of the Firm
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • The Effect of Debt on the Cost of Capital
  • DEBT EFFECT
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • CONCLUSION
  • RISK EFFECT
  • Other Factors: Bankruptcy Costs
  • BANKRUPTCY COSTS
  • PROBABILITY OF BANKRUPTCY
  • Financing the Expected Funds Needed (EFN): Capital Structure Theory
  • BASIC IDEAS
  • Relation of Cost of Capital and Value to Debt Ratio
  • Optimal Capital Structure
  • HOW TO USE THIS IDEA
  • Factors Influencing Debt Usage
  • SALES GROWTH RATE
  • SALES STABILITY
  • ASSET AND COST STRUCTURE AND OPERATING LEVERAGE
  • CONTROL
  • OTHER FACTORS INFLUENCING DEBT USAGE
  • Short Versus Long-Term Debt
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Case Studies
  • Chapter 5 FORECASTING THE BALANCE SHEET: STATISTICAL PROCEDURES
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • Statistical Procedure Regression
  • Advantages of Regression Analysis
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Finding a Trend Line with Two Data Points
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Regression Analysis
  • Using Regression: An Example
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • THE CORRELATION COEFFICIENT
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Regression and Forecasting the Balance Sheet: An Example
  • ASSUME
  • Using Regression to Forecast the Income Statement
  • Chapter 6 FORECASTING THE INCOME STATEMENT
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • How Expenses Vary with Sales Changes
  • PREDICTING EXPENSES
  • PREPARE FORECAST WITH CONSIDERABLE DETAIL
  • FIXED EXPENSES
  • CHANGES IN FIXED EXPENSES
  • VARIABLE EXPENSES
  • CHANGES IN VARIABLE RATES.
  • The Income Statement Percent of Sales Method
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • FIXED AND VARIABLE EXPENSE APPROACH
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • VARIABLE EXPENSE APPROACH
  • Finding Fixed and Variable Expenses Graphically
  • Using Regression to Determine Fixed and Variable Expenses
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Example of Using Regression to Determine Expense Components
  • Forecasting the Income Statement
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Case Study
  • Chapter 7 RECONCILING THE INCOME STATEMENT AND BALANCE SHEET
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • Why There Must Be a Reconciliation
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Reconciliation of the Income Statement and the Balance Sheet
  • PROCEDURE
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • RECONCILIATION: EXAMPLE OF SETTING-UP THE RECONCILIATION EQUATION
  • Reconciliation: A Complete Example
  • Forecasting and Reconciling the Income Statement: An Example
  • Reconciliation: An Example
  • Reconciliation: A Second Example
  • Case Study
  • Chapter 8 EVIDENCE OF GROWTH MISMANAGEMENT
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • Evidence of Growth Mismanagement
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Fixed Assets to Net Worth
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Net Sales to Net Worth: The Trading Ratio
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • The Trading Ratio of Company A: An Example
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Other Important Ratios to Monitor During Periods of Growth
  • COLLECTION PERIOD
  • INVENTORY TURNOVER
  • PROFIT MARGIN
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Case Study
  • Chapter 9 MAXIMUM SUSTAINABLE GROWTH
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • The Basic Model: Maximum Sustainable Growth
  • The Sustainable Growth Model
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Maximum Sustainable Growth: An Example
  • ASSUMPTIONS
  • Maximum Sustainable Growth: A Second Example
  • ASSUMPTIONS
  • Improving Sustainable Growth
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Case Study
  • Sustainable Growth: Available External Equity
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Sustainable Growth with Regression
  • Chapter 10 FORECASTING SALES.
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • Forecasting Sales: Sales Goal
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • The Best Guess Forecast: Bottom-up
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Compound Growth: An Example of Forecasting Sales
  • Fluctuating or Cyclical Sales
  • Using Regression to Predict Sales
  • Forecasting Sales: Regression Approach
  • EXAMPLE
  • Quick Mart Lumber Company
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Case Study
  • Chapter 11 INTEGRATING THE PERCENT OF SALES WITH A SHORTER-TERM FORECAST OF CASH NEEDS
  • LEARNING OBJECTIVES
  • Shorter-Term Cash Needs
  • SCHEDULE OF ASSUMPTIONS
  • KNOWLEDGE CHECK
  • Appendix A THE BASIC FORECASTING MODEL
  • OBJECTIVE
  • KEY WORDS
  • THE NEED FOR A SALES FORECAST
  • FORECASTING THE BALANCE SHEET
  • THE FORECASTED INCOME STATEMENT
  • RECONCILING THE TWO PRO FORMA FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
  • GLOSSARY OF CONTROLLERSHIP AND FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT TERMS
  • INDEX
  • FINANCIAL FORECASTING AND DECISION MAKING
  • SOLUTIONS
  • CHAPTER 1
  • CHAPTER 2
  • CHAPTER 3
  • CHAPTER 4
  • CHAPTER 5
  • CHAPTER 6
  • CHAPTER 7
  • CHAPTER 8
  • CHAPTER 9
  • CHAPTER 10
  • CHAPTER 11
  • LEARN MORE
  • WHY AICPA?
  • EULA.