Global dynamics approaches from complexity science
A world model: economies, trade, migration, security and development aid. This bookprovides the analytical capability to understand and explore the dynamics of globalisation. It is anchored in economic input-output models of over 200 countries and their relationships through trade, migration, securi...
| Otros Autores: | , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Libro electrónico |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Chichester, West Sussex, England :
Wiley
2016.
|
| Edición: | First edition |
| Colección: | Wiley series in computational and quantitative social science.
|
| Materias: | |
| Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull: | https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009630292106719 |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Title Page; Copyright; Table of Contents; Notes on Contributors; Acknowledgements; Part One: Global Dynamics and the Tools of Complexity Science; Chapter 1: Global Dynamics and the Tools of Complexity Science; Reference; Part Two: Trade and Economic Development; Chapter 2: The Global Trade System and Its Evolution; 2.1 The Evolution of the Shipping and Ports' System; 2.2 Analyses of the Cargo Ship Network; 2.3 A Complex Adaptive Systems (CASs) Perspective; 2.4 Conclusions: The Benefits of a Systems Perspective; References; Appendix
- A.1 Complexity Science and Complex Adaptive Systems: Key CharacteristicsChapter 3: An Interdependent Multi-layer Model for Trade; 3.1 Introduction; 3.2 The Interdependent Multi-layer Model: Vertical Integration; 3.3 Model Layers; 3.4 The Workings of the Model; 3.5 Model Calibration; 3.6 Result 1: Steady State; 3.7 Result 2: Estimation and Propagation of Shocks in the IMM; 3.8 Discussion and Conclusions; References; Chapter 4: A Global Inter-country Economic Model Based on Linked Input-Output Models; 4.1 Introduction; 4.2 Existing Global Economic Models; 4.3 Description of the Model
- 4.4 Solving the Model4.5 Analysis; 4.6 Conclusions; Acknowledgements; References; Appendix; A.1 Modelling the 'Rest of the World'; A.2 Services Trade Data; Part Three: Migration; Chapter 5: Global Migration Modelling: A Review of Key Policy Needs and Research Centres; 5.1 Introduction; 5.2 Policy and Migration Research; 5.3 Conclusion; References; Appendix; A.1 United Kingdom; A.2 Rest of Europe; A.3 Rest of the World; Chapter 6: Estimating Inter-regional Migration in Europe; 6.1 Introduction; 6.2 The Spatial System and the Modelling Challenge; 6.3 Biproportional Fitting Modelling Methodology
- 6.4 Model Parameter Calibration6.5 Model Experiments; 6.6 Results; 6.7 Conclusions and Comments on the New Framework for Estimating Inter-regional, Inter-country Migration Flows in Europe; References; Chapter 7: Estimating an Annual Time Series of Global Migration Flows - An Alternative Methodology for Using Migrant Stock Data; 7.1 Introduction; 7.2 Methodology; 7.3 Results and Validation; 7.4 Discussion; 7.5 Conclusions; References; Part Four: Security; Chapter 8: Conflict Modelling: Spatial Interaction as Threat; 8.1 Introduction; 8.2 Conflict Intensity: Space-Time Patterning of Events
- 8.3 Understanding Conflict Onset: Simulation-based Models8.4 Forecasting Global Conflict Hotspots; 8.5 A Spatial Model of Threat; 8.6 Discussion: The Use of a Spatial Threat Measure in Models of Conflict; References; Chapter 9: Riots; 9.1 Introduction; 9.2 The 2011 Riots in London; 9.3 Data-Driven Modelling of Riot Diffusion; 9.4 Statistical Modelling of Target Choice; 9.5 A Generative Model of the Riots; 9.6 Discussion; References; Chapter 10: Rebellions; 10.1 Introduction; 10.2 Data; 10.3 Hawkes model; 10.4 Results; 10.5 Discussion; References
- Chapter 11: Spatial Interaction as Threat: Modelling Maritime Piracy
