The flaw of averages why we underestimate risk in the face of uncertainty

A must-read for anyone who makes business decisions that have a major financial impact. As the recent collapse on Wall Street shows, we are often ill-equipped to deal with uncertainty and risk. Yet every day we base our personal and business plans on uncertainties, whether they be next month's...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Savage, Sam L. (-)
Format: eBook
Language:Inglés
Published: Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley & Sons 2012.
Edition:1st edition
Subjects:
See on Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009628396306719
Table of Contents:
  • pt. 1. The big picture
  • pt. 2. Five basic MINDles for uncertainty
  • pt. 3. Decisions and information
  • pt. 4. The seven deadly sins of averaging
  • pt. 5. The flaw of averages in finance
  • pt. 6. Real finance
  • pt. 7. The flaw of averages in supply chains
  • pt. 8. The flaw of averages and some hot button issues
  • pt. 9. Toward a cure for the flaw of averages.