Developments in demographic forecasting
This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric...
| Otros Autores: | , , |
|---|---|
| Formato: | Libro electrónico |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Cham :
Springer Nature
2020
2020. |
| Edición: | First edition, 2020. |
| Colección: | The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis ;
49 |
| Materias: | |
| Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull: | https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009439190306719 |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Chapter 1. Introduction
- Chapter 2. Stochastic population forecasting: A Bayesian approach based on evaluation by experts
- Chapter 3. Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions
- Chapter 4. Post-Transitional Demography and Convergence: What can we Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects?
- Chapter 5. Projecting Proportionate Age–Specific Fertility Rates via Bayesian Skewed Processes
- Chapter 6. A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions
- Chapter 7. Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy
- Chapter 8. Coherent mortality forecasting with standards: low mortality serves as a guide
- Chapter 9. European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving?
- Chapter 10. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland
- Chapter 11. Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components
- Chapter 12. New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurement of Age and Ageing.
