Whither al-Anbar Province? : five scenarios through 2011

Whither al-Anbar Province? five scenarios through 2011

As U.S. forces withdraw from Iraq, significant changes can be expected throughout al-Anbar Province in security, political, economic, and even cultural relationships. RAND convened a series of three one-day workshops at which participants identified five relatively distinct futures, or scenarios, fo...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Bruce, James B. (-)
Autor Corporativo: National Defense Research Institute (U.S.) (-)
Otros Autores: Martini, Jeffrey
Formato: Libro electrónico
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Santa Monica, CA : RAND 2010.
Edición:1st ed
Colección:Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-278-MCIA.
Materias:
Social prediction > Iraq > Anbar (Province) > Case studies > Congresses.
Social change > Iraq > Anbar (Province) > Congresses.
Iraq War, 2003-2011 > Influence > Congresses.
Disengagement (Military science) > Congresses.
United States > Armed Forces > Congresses.
Anbar (Iraq : Province) > Politics and government > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
Anbar (Iraq : Province) > Social conditions > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
Anbar (Iraq : Province) > Economic conditions > 21st century > Forecasting > Congresses.
Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009433077406719
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Executive summary
  • What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province?
  • How this study was conducted
  • Implications
  • Major takeaways
  • Study approach
  • Assumptions
  • Drivers
  • Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival
  • Scenario B: Every clan for itself
  • Scenario C: Iron fist
  • Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad
  • Scenario E: Path to stability
  • The importance of drivers
  • Indications and warnings
  • Conclusions and implications.

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