Estimating terrorism risk

This monograph provides a practical definition of terrorism risk, presents a method of estimating it, and demonstrates a framework for evaluating this method. Results support conclusions on how to improve risk-based resource allocation.

Bibliographic Details
Corporate Author: Rand Corporation (-)
Other Authors: Willis, Henry H. (-)
Format: eBook
Language:Inglés
Published: Santa Monica, CA : RAND 2005.
Edition:1st ed
Series:Rand Corporation monograph series.
Subjects:
See on Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009427825506719
Table of Contents:
  • The RAND Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy; Center for Terrorism Risk Management AdvisoryBoard; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Risk Assessment Versus Resource Allocation; Scope and Limitations; Overview of This Monograph; CHAPTER TWO- Terrorism Risk and Its Components; Threat; Vulnerability; Consequences; Risk as a Function of Threat, Vulnerability, andConsequences; CHAPTER THREE- Accounting for Uncertainty and Values in Terrorism Risk Assessment
  • Uncertainties in the Estimation of Threat, Vulnerability,and ConsequencesReflecting Values in Terrorism Risk Management; Implications of Uncertainty and Values for Managing Terrorism Risk; CHAPTER FOUR- Two Approaches to Estimating Terrorism Risk in Urban Areas; Simple Risk Indicators: Population-Based Metrics; Event-Based Models: The RMS Terrorism Risk Model; Comparison of Population, Density-Weighted Population,and the Aggregated Estimate of Urban Area Risk Shares; CHAPTER FIVE- Evaluating the Performance of Different Estimates of Terrorism Risk; The Performance of Terrorism Risk Estimates
  • CHAPTER SIX- Conclusions and RecommendationsDefining Terrorism Risk; Reflecting Uncertainty in Terrorism Risk Assessment; Simple Versus Event-Based Risk Estimates; Recommendations; APPENDIX- Supporting Figures and Table; Bibliography