Dangerous thresholds managing escalation in the 21st century
This analysis of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on a range of historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global Jihad to inform escalation-related decision making.
| Autores Corporativos: | , |
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| Otros Autores: | |
| Formato: | Libro electrónico |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
| Publicado: |
Santa Monica, CA :
RAND Project Air Force
2008.
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| Colección: | Rand Corporation monograph series.
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| Materias: | |
| Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull: | https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009427823706719 |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Background; Contemporary Challenges; Purpose of This Monograph; Organization and Approach; CHAPTER TWO- The Nature of Escalation; Understanding Escalation; Dimensions of Escalation: Vertical, Horizontal, and Political; Escalation Mechanisms; Complexity in Escalation; Motives for Escalation; Dynamics of Escalation; Escalation and Instability in the 21st Century; Anticipating and Managing Escalation; CHAPTER THREE- China's Thinking on Escalation: Evidence from Chinese Military Writings
- Introduction Background and Conceptual Issues; Understanding Chinese Views on Escalation and War Control; Assessing Chinese Escalation Behavior Through the Lens of the Second Artillery Doctrine; Second Artillery Nuclear Operations and Escalation; Second Artillery Conventional Missile Strike Campaigns; Chinese Views on Space Warfare and Escalation; Conclusion; CHAPTER FOUR- Regional Nuclear Powers; Escalation Risks Inherent in Emergent Nuclear Capability; Sources of Regional Instability; Conclusion; CHAPTER FIVE- Escalation in Irregular Warfare; Irregular Warfare's Many Paths of Escalation
- Escalation in Stability Operations: Two Illustrative Cases Escalation in the Global Jihad; Escalation Management in the Struggle Against Global Jihad; Conclusion; CHAPTER SIX- Managing Escalation in a Complex World; The First Step in Managing Escalation Is Understanding Its Nature; Managing Escalation Risks in Today's World; Recommendations for the U.S. Air Force; APPENDIX A- China, Force, and Escalation: Continuities Between Historical Behavior and Contemporary Writings; APPENDIX B- Case Studies of Escalation in Stability Operations; APPENDIX C- Modified Method for Delphi Analyses
- Bibliography
