Implications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems

An overview of higher-level decisionmaking and modern methods to improve decision support

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Davis, Paul K., 1943- (-)
Other Authors: Kulick, Jonathan, 1966-, Egner, Michael
Format: eBook
Language:Inglés
Published: Santa Monica, CA : Rand, Project Air Force 2005.
Edition:1st ed
Subjects:
See on Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull:https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009426454906719
Table of Contents:
  • Cover; Preface; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Acronyms; Chapter One - Introductions; Objective; Definition and Scope; Descriptive Versus Prescriptive Research; Approach in This Monograph; Chapter Two - Human Decisionmaking; How to Think About Decisionmaking; Images of the Decision Process; The Problems of Heuristics and Biases; The Naturalistic School; Military and National-Security OperationalDecisionmaking; Chapter Three - Classic Analysis Concepts and Their Evolution; Decision Analysis and Game Theory; Systems Analysis; Policy Analysis
  • Summary of Classic Analysis Components of DecisionScienceChapter Four - Advanced Decision Science for Analysis; Introduction; Broad Methods; Enablers; Chapter Five - the Research Frontier: Reconciling Analytic and Intuitive Considerations; Introduction; Improving Automated Decision Support; Balancing Cold and Story-Based Decision Support; General Recommendations; Chapter Six - Conclusions; The Decisionmaking Component; The Analysis Component; Appendix A - Debiasing an Air Campaign; Appendix B - Rethinking Families of Models; Appendix C - Further Discussion of Judgmental Bias and DSS
  • Bibliography