From stalemate to settlement lessons for Afghanistan from historical insurgencies that have been resolved through negotiation
A comprehensive review of historical insurgencies that ended in settlement after a military stalemate shows that these negotiations followed a similar path that can be generalized into a "master narrative" of seven steps executed in a common sequence. Such a narrative could help guide and...
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| Formato: | Libro electrónico |
| Idioma: | Inglés |
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Santa Monica, California :
RAND
2014.
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| Edición: | 1st ed |
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| Ver en Biblioteca Universitat Ramon Llull: | https://discovery.url.edu/permalink/34CSUC_URL/1im36ta/alma991009426442206719 |
Tabla de Contenidos:
- Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures and Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; From Stalemate to Settlement: Lessons for Afghanistan from Historical Insurgencies That Have Been Resolved Through Negotiations; Introduction; How to Reach a Negotiated Settlement in Counterinsurgency Warfare; The Notion of a Master Narrative; Methods: Getting to a Master Narrative; Previous RAND Research: Paths to Victory; Developing the Master Narrative; The Master Narrative; Step 1: Military Stalemate and War-Weariness
- Step 2: Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating Partners or Non-AdversariesStep 3: Brokered Cease-Fires (Not Always Respected); Step 4: Official Intermediate Agreements; Step 5: Power-Sharing Offers; Step 6: Moderation of Insurgent Leadership; Step 7: Third-Party Guarantors; Sequences in the Individual Cases; Extended Example: Northern Ireland, 1969-1999; Step 1: Military Stalemate and War-Weariness; Step 2: Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating Partners; Step 3: Brokered Cease-Fires (Not Always Respected); Step 4: Official Intermediate Agreements
- Step 5: Power-Sharing OffersStep 6: Moderation of Insurgent Leadership; Step 7: Third-Party Guarantor; Twelve Additional Cases of Historical Insurgency Settled Through Negotiation; Yemen, 1962-1970; Philippines (MNLF), 1971-1996; Lebanese Civil War, 1975-1990; Western Sahara, 1975-1991; Mozambique (RENAMO), 1976-1995; Indonesia (Aceh), 1976-2005; Kampuchea, 1978-1992; Bosnia, 1992-1995; Tajikistan, 1992-1997; Burundi, 1993-2003; Chechnya I, 1994-1996; Democratic Republic of the Congo (Anti-Kabila), 1998-2003; Following the Master Narrative Toward an End Game in Afghanistan
- Step 2: Acceptance of Insurgents as Legitimate Negotiating PartnersStep 3: Brokered Cease-Fires; Step 4: Official Intermediate Agreements; Step 5: Power-Sharing Offers; Step 6: Moderation in Leadership; Step 7: Third-Party Guarantors; Conclusion; References
