Consumo de energía Markov chain Monte Carlo Perspective Política energética Recursos energéticos building microgrid combined heat and power component outage demand side management domino effect electric-power structure adjustment electrical distribution systems energy conservation and emissions reduction energy network energy system management model feasible operation region firefighting flexibility option fuzzy set theory generation efficiency generation expansion planning graph theory heating ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) influence diagram integrated energy system intermittent sources islanded microgrids life cycle cost long-term forecasting meshed topology